OK. After this weekend's games, and upon seeing the latest BCS standings, here it how I see the BCS games playing out.
BCS Championship Game:
#1 Florida State
#2 Ohio State
Here is how I arrived at my picks:
1st-The Orange Bowl gets the first choice for replacing their host (FSU) who is lost to the NCG. By rule, they MUST pick an automatic qualifier. That means that either UCF (AAC), or Northern Illinois (MAC) will be the host of the Orange Bowl.
2nd-The Rose Bowl then must pick a team to replace one of it's lost hosts (Ohio State). By rule, they MUST pick an automatic qualifier, and that leaves ONLY Northern Illinois.
3rd-The Sugar Bowl is hosted by the SEC Champion (Auburn).
4th-The Fiesta Bowl is hosted by the Big 12 Champion (OK State).
5th-This year, the Orange Bowl gets the first pick of the remaining three open slots. Alabama is the obvious choice.
6th-This year, the Sugar Bowl gets the second at-large pick. I see an 11-1 Baylor as the obvious choice, and the geography definitely helps against such other teams as Clemson, Michigan State, or Arizona State.
7th-This year, the Fiesta Bowl gets the final at-large choice. I see Arizona State as the logical choice here.
Now the outcome of each one of the Conference Championship games as well as the Bedlam Game, will determine the actual automatic qualifiers and hosts for several games, but this is just how I see things working out. Northern Illinois in the Rose Bowl.........never in my lifetime would I have ever expected that!
Here is a link to this year's BCS rules:http://www.bcsfootball.org/news/story?id=4819597